I never left.
Behind the horse raceโtype coverage of the contest for presidential nominations, a major realignment is underway in United States politics. The Republican Party is dying as Trump and his supporters take it over, but there is a larger story behind that crash. This moment looks much like the other times in our history when a formerly stable two-party system has fallen apart and Americans reevaluated what they want out of their government.
Trumpโs takeover of the party has been clear at the state level, where during his term he worked to install loyalists in leadership positions. From there, they have pushed the Big Lie that he won the 2020 election and have continued to advance his claims to power.
The growing radicalism of the party has also been clear in Congress, where Trump loyalists refuse to permit legislation that does not reflect their demands and where, after they threw House speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) out of officeโdumping a speaker midterm for the first time in historyโTrump lieutenant Jim Jordan (R-OH) threatened holdouts to vote him in as speaker. Jordan failed, but the speaker Republican representatives did choose, Mike Johnson (R-LA), is himself a Trump loyalist, just one who had made fewer enemies than Jordan.
The radicalization of the House conference has led 21 members of the party who gravitate toward actual lawmaking to announce they are not running for reelection. Many of them are from safe Republican districts, meaning they will almost certainly be replaced by radicals.
The Senate has tended to hang back from this radicalization, but in a dramatic illustration of Trumpโs takeover of the party, Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell today announced he would step down from his leadership position in November. McConnell is the leading symbol of the pre-Trump party, a man whose determination to cut taxes and regulation led him to manipulate the rules of the Senate and silence warnings that Russian disinformation was polluting the 2016 campaign so long as it meant keeping a Democrat out of the White House and Republicans in control of the Senate.
The extremist House Freedom Caucus promptly tweeted: โOur thoughts are with our Democrat colleagues in the Senate on the retirement of their Co-Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (D-Ukraine). No need to wait till NovemberโฆSenate Republicans should IMMEDIATELY elect a *Republican* Minority Leader.โ
Trump has also taken control of the Republican National Committee (RNC) itself. On Monday, RNC chair Ronna McDaniel announced that she is resigning on March 8. Trump picked McDaniel himself in 2016 but has come to blame her both for the partyโs continued underperformance since 2016 and for its current lack of money.
Now Trump has made it clear he wants even closer loyalists at the top of the party, including his own daughter-in-law, Lara Trump. She has suggested she is open to using RNC money exclusively for Trump. This might be what has prompted the Koch-backed Americans for Prosperity to pull support from Nikki Haley in order to invest in downballot races.
But the party that is consolidating around Trump is alienating a majority of Americans. It has abandoned the principles that the party embraced from 1980 until 2016. In that era, Republicans called for a government that cut taxes and regulations with the idea that consolidating wealth at the top of the economy would enable businessmen to invest far more effectively in new development than they could if the government interfered, and the economy would boom. They also embraced global leadership through the expansion of capitalism and a strong military to protect it.
Under Trump, though, the party has turned away from global leadership to the idea that strong countries can do what they like to their neighbors, and from small government to big government that imposes religious rules. Far from protecting equality before the law, Republican-dominated states have discriminated against LGBTQ+ individuals, racial and ethnic minorities, and women. And, of course, the party is catering to Trumpโs authoritarian plans. Neo-nazis attended the Conservative Political Action Conference a week ago.
But these changes are not popular. Tuesdayโs Michigan primary revealed the story we had already seen in the Republican presidential primaries and caucuses in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. Trump won all those contests, but by significantly less than polls had predicted. He has also been dogged by the strength of former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley. With Trump essentially running as an incumbent, he should be showing the sort of strength Biden is showingโwith challengers garnering only a few percentage pointsโbut even among the fervent Republicans who tend to turn out for primaries, Trumpโs support is soft.
It seems that the same policies that attract Trumpโs base are turning other voters against him. Republican leadership, for example, is far out of step with the American people on abortion rightsโ69% of Americans want the right to abortion put into lawโand that gulf has only widened over the Alabama Supreme Court decision endangering in vitro fertilization by saying that embryos have the same rights as children from the moment of conception. That decision created such an outcry that Republicans felt obliged to claim they supported IVF. But push came to shove today when Senator Tammy Duckworth (D-IL) reintroduced a bill to protect IVF that Republicans had previously rejected and Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS) killed it again.
The party has also tied itself to a deeply problematic leader. Trump is facing 91 criminal charges in four different casesโtwo state, two federalโbut the recently-decided civil case in which he, the Trump Organization, his older sons, and two associates were found liable for fraud is presenting a more immediate threat to Trumpโs political career.
Trump owes writer E. Jean Carroll $88.3 million; he owes the state of New York $454 million, with interest accruing at more than $100,000 a day. Trump had 30 days from the time the judgments were filed to produce the money or a bond for it. Today he asked the court for permission to post only $100 million rather than the full amount in the New York case, as required by law, because he would have to sell property at fire-sale prices to come up with the money.
In addition to making it clear to donors that their investment in his campaign now might end up in the hands of lawyers or the victorious plaintiffs, the admission that Trump does not have the money he has claimed punctures the image at the heart of his political success: that of a billionaire businessman.
Judge Anil C. Singh rejected Trumpโs request but did stay the prohibition on Trumpโs getting loans from New York banks, potentially allowing him to get the money he needs.
As Trumpโs invincible image cracks with this admission, as well as with the increased coverage of his wild statements, others are starting to push back on him and his loyalists. President Bidenโs son Hunter Biden testified behind closed doors to members of the House Oversight and Judiciary Committees today, after their previous key witness turned out to be working with Russian operatives and got indicted for lying.
Hunter Biden began the day with a scathing statement saying unequivocally that he had never involved his father in his business dealings and that all the evidence the committee had compiled proved that. In their โpartisan political pursuit,โ he said, they had โtrafficked in innuendo, distortion, and sensationalismโall the while ignoring the clear and convincing evidence staring you in the face. You do not have evidence to support the baseless and MAGA-motivated conspiracies about my father because there isnโt any.โ
After an hour, Democratic committee members described to the press what was going on in the hearing room. They reported that the Republicansโ case had fallen apart entirely and that Biden had had a โvery understandable, coherent business explanation for every single thing that they asked for.โ While former president Trump invoked his Fifth Amendment right not to incriminate himself more than 440 times during a deposition in his fraud trial, Biden did not take the Fifth at all.
The discrediting of the Republicans continued later. When Representative Tim Burchett (R-TN) tried to recycle the discredited claim that โ$20 million flowed throughโ to thenโvice president Biden, CNN host Boris Sanchez fact-checked him and said, โIโm not going to let you say things that arenโt true.โ
That willingness to push back on the Republicans suggests a new political moment in which Americans, as they have done before when one of the two parties devolved into minority rule, wake up to the reality that the system has been hijacked and begin to reclaim their government.
But can they prevail over the extremists MAGA Republicans have stowed into critical positions in the government? Tonight the Supreme Court, stacked with Trump appointees, announced that rather than let the decision of a lower court stay in place, it would take up the question of whether Trump is immune from criminal prosecution for his actions in trying to overturn the 2020 presidential election. That decision means a significant delay in Trumpโs trial for that attempt.
โThis is a momentous decision, just to hear this case,โ conservative judge Michael Luttig told Nicolle Wallace of MSNBC. โThere was no reason in this world for the Supreme Court to take this caseโฆ. Under the constitutional laws of the United States, there has never been an argument that a former president is immune from prosecution for crimes that he committed while in office.โ
โ-
๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
Sweet.
At Chicagoโs United Center today, the delegates at the Democratic National Convention reaffirmed last weekโs online nomination of Kamala Harris for president. The ceremonial roll-call vote featured all the usual good natured boasting from the delegates about their own stateโs virtues, a process that reinforces the incredible diversity and history of both this land and its people. The managers reserved the final slots for Minnesota and Californiaโthe home states of Democratic vice presidential candidate Tim Walz and presidential candidate Kamala Harris, respectivelyโto put the ticket over the top.
When the votes had been counted, Harris joined the crowd virtually from a rally she and Walz were holding at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Last month the Republicans held their own national convention in that venue, and for Harris to accept her nomination in the same place was an acknowledgement of how important Wisconsin will be in this election. But it also meant that Trump, who is obsessed with crowd sizes, would have to see not one but two packed sports arenas of supporters cheer wildly for her nomination.
He also had to contend with former loyalists and supporters joining the Democratic convention. His former press secretary, Stephanie Grisham, told the Democratic convention tonight that when the cameras are off, โTrump mocks his supporters. He calls them basement dwellers.โ Grisham endorsed Harris, saying: โI love my country more than my party. Kamala Harris tells the truth. She respects the American people and she has my vote.โ
Trump spoke glumly to a small crowd today at the Livingston County Sheriffโs Office in Howell, Michigan.
It was almost exactly twenty years ago, on July 27, 2004, that 43-year-old Illinois state senator Barack Obama, who was, at the time, running for a seat in the U.S. Senate, gave the keynote address to that yearโs Democratic National Convention. It was the speech that began his rise to the presidency.
Like the Democrats who spoke last night, Obama talked in 2004 of his childhood and recalled how his parents had โfaith in the possibilities of this nation.โ And like Biden last night, Obama said that โin no other country on earth, is my story even possible.โ The nationโs promise, he said, came from the human equality promised in the Declaration of Independence.
โThat is the true genius of America,โ Obama said, โa faith in the simple dreams of its people, the insistence on small miracles.โ He called for an America โwhere hard work is rewarded.โ โ[I]t's not enough for just some of us to prosper,โ he said, โ[f]or alongside our famous individualism, there's another ingredient in the American saga.โ
He described that ingredient as โ[a]belief that we are connected as one people. If there's a child on the south side of Chicago who can't read, that matters to me, even if it's not my child. If there's a senior citizen somewhere who can't pay for her prescription and has to choose between medicine and the rent, that makes my life poorer, even if it's not my grandmother. If there's an Arab American family being rounded up without benefit of an attorney or due process, that threatens my civil liberties. It's that fundamental beliefโI am my brother's keeper, I am my sister's keeperโthat makes this country work. It's what allows us to pursue our individual dreams, yet still come together as a single American family. โE pluribus unum.โ Out of many, one.โ
Obama emphasized Americansโ shared values and pushed back against โthose who are preparing to divide us, the spin masters and negative ad peddlers who embrace the politics of anything goes.โ He reached back into history to prove that โthe bedrock of this nationโ is โthe belief that there are better days ahead.โ He called that belief โ[t]he audacity of hope.โ
Almost exactly twenty years after his 2004 speech, the same man, now a former president who served for eight years, spoke at tonightโs Democratic National Convention. But the past two decades have challenged his vision.
When voters put Obama into the White House in 2008, Republicans set out to make sure they couldnโt govern. Mitch McConnell (RโKY) became Senate minority leader in 2007 and, using the filibuster, stopped most Democratic measures by requiring 60 votes to move anything to a vote.
In 2010 the Supreme Court handed down the Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission decision, declaring that corporations and other outside groups could spend as much money as they wanted on elections. Citizens United increased Republican seats in legislative bodies, and in the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans packed state legislatures with their own candidates in time to be in charge of redistricting their states after the 2010 census. Republicans controlled the key states of Florida, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Ohio, and Michigan, as well as other, smaller states, and after the election, they used precise computer models to win previously Democratic House seats.
In the 2012 election, Democrats won the White House decisively, the Senate easily, and
a majority of 1.4 million votes for House candidates. Yet Republicans came away with a thirty-three-seat majority in the House of Representatives. And then, with the 2013 Shelby County v. Holder decision, the Supreme Court gutted the Voting Rights Act, making it harder to protect Democratic voters.
As the Republicans skewed the mechanics of government to favor themselves, their candidates no longer had to worry they would lose general elections but did have to worry about losing primaries to more extreme challengers. So they swung farther and farther to the right, demonizing the Democrats until finally those who remain Republicans have given up on democracy altogether.
Tonightโs speech echoed that of 2004 by saying that Americaโs โcentral storyโ is that โwe are all created equal,โ and describing Harris and Walz as hardworking people who would use the government to create a fair system. He sounded more concerned today than in 2004 about political divisions, and reminded the crowd: โThe vast majority of us do not want to live in a country thatโs bitter and divided,โ he said. โWe want something better. We want to be better. And the joy and the excitement that weโre seeing around this campaign tells us weโre not alone,โ he said.
And then, in his praise for his grandmother, โa little old white lady born in a tiny town called Peru, Kansas,โ and his mother-in-law, Marion Robinson, a Black woman from the South Side of Chicago, he brought a new emphasis on ordinary Americans, especially women, who work hard, sacrifice for their children, and value honesty, integrity, kindness, helping others, and hard work.
They wanted their children to โdo things and go places that they wouldโve never imagined for themselves.โ โWhether youโre a Democrat or a Republican or somewhere in between,โ he said, โwe have all had people like that in our lives:... good hardworking people who werenโt famous or powerful but who managed in countless ways to leave this country just a little bit better than they found it.โ
If President Obama emphasized tonight that the nation depends on the good will of ordinary people, it was his wife, former first lady Michelle Obama, who spoke with the voice of those people and made it clear that only the American people can preserve democracy.
In a truly extraordinary speech, perfectly delivered, Mrs. Obama described her mother as someone who lived out the idea of hope for a better future, working for children and the community. โShe was glad to do the thankless, unglamorous work that for generations has strengthened the fabric of this nation,โ Mrs. Obama said, โthe belief that if you do unto others, if you love thy neighbor, if you work and scrape and sacrifice, it will pay off. If not for you, then maybe for your children or your grandchildren.โ
Unlike her husband, though, Mrs. Obama called out Trump and his allies, who are trying to destroy that worldview. โNo one has a monopoly on what it means to be an American,โ she said. โNo one.โ โ[M]ost of us will never be afforded the grace of failing forward,โ she said. โWe will never benefit from the affirmative action of generational wealth. If we bankrupt a businessโฆor choke in a crisis, we don't get a second, third, or fourth chance. If things don't go our way, we don't have the luxury of whining or cheating others to get further aheadโฆwe don't get to change the rules so we always win. If we see a mountain in front of us, we donโt expect there to be an escalator waiting to take us to the top. No, we put our heads down. We get to work. In America, we do something."
And then Mrs. Obama took up the mantle of her mother, warning that demonizing others and taking away their rights, โonly makes us small.โ It โdemeans and cheapens our politics. It only serves to further discourage good, big-hearted people from wanting to get involved at all. America, our parents taught us better than that.โ
It is โup to us to be the solution that we seek.โ she said. She urged people to โbe the antidote to the darkness and division.โ โ[W]hether youโre Democrat, Republican, Independent, or none of the above,โ she said, โthis is our time to stand up for what we know. In our hearts is right. Not just for our basic freedoms, but for decency and humanity, for basic respect. Dignity and empathy. For the values at the very foundation of this democracy.โ
โDonโt just sit around and complain. Do something.โ
โ ๐๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฑ ๐๐ข๐๐ก๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐จ๐ง
Earle Bergey American, 1901-1952. The Cybernetic Brains, Startling Stories pulp cover, September, 1950. Oil on canvas
Chester passed away in his sleep today, January 21,2024. I will miss him terribly.
He was 14.
๐๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ง ๐๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐๐ง
On January 27, 1838, Abraham Lincoln rose before the Young Menโs Lyceum in Springfield, Illinois, to make a speech. Just 28 years old, Lincoln had begun to practice law and had political ambitions. But he was worried that his generation might not preserve the republic that the founders had handed to it for transmission to yet another generation. He took as his topic for that January evening, โThe Perpetuation of Our Political Institutions.โ
Lincoln saw trouble coming, but not from a foreign power, as other countries feared. The destruction of the United States, he warned, could come only from within. โIf destruction be our lot,โ he said, โwe must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of freemen, we must live through all time, or die by suicide.โ
The trouble Lincoln perceived stemmed from the growing lawlessness in the country as men ignored the rule of law and acted on their passions, imposing their will on their neighbors through violence. He pointed specifically to two recent events: the 1836 lynching of free Black man Francis McIntosh in St. Louis, Missouri, and the 1837 murder of white abolitionist editor Elijah P. Lovejoy by a proslavery mob in Alton, Illinois.
But the problem of lawlessness was not limited to individual instances, he said. A public practice of ignoring the law eventually broke down all the guardrails designed to protect individuals, while lawbreakers, going unpunished, became convinced they were entitled to act without restraint. โHaving ever regarded Government as their deadliest bane,โ Lincoln said, โthey make a jubilee of the suspension of its operations; and pray for nothing so much as its total annihilation.โ
The only way to guard against such destruction, LIncoln said, was to protect the rule of law on which the country was founded. โAs the patriots of seventy-six did to the support of the Declaration of Independence, so to the support of the Constitution and Laws, let every American pledge his life, his property, and his sacred honorโฆ. Let reverence for the lawsโฆbecome the ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ช๐ค๐ข๐ญ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ช๐จ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ of the nation; and let the old and the young, the rich and the poor, the grave and the gay, of all sexes and tongues, and colors and conditions, sacrifice unceasingly upon its altars.โ
Lincoln was quick to clarify that he was not saying all laws were good. Indeed, he said, bad laws should be challenged and repealed. But the underlying structure of the rule of law, based in the Constitution, could not be abandoned without losing democracy.
Lincoln didnโt stop there. He warned that the very success of the American republic threatened its continuation. โ[M]en of ambition and talentsโ could no longer make their name by building the nationโthat glory had already been won. Their ambition could not be served simply by preserving what those before them had created, so they would achieve distinction through destruction.
For such a man, Lincoln said, โDistinction will be his paramount object, and although he would as willingly, perhaps more so, acquire it by doing good as harm; yet, that opportunity being past, and nothing left to be done in the way of building up, he would set boldly to the task of pulling down.โ With no dangerous foreign power to turn peopleโs passions against, people would turn from the project of โestablishing and maintaining civil and religious libertyโ and would instead turn against each other.
Lincoln reminded his audience that the torch of American democracy had been passed to them. The Founders had used their passions to create a system of laws, but the time for passion had passed, lest it tear the nation apart. The next generation must support democracy through โsober reason,โ he said. He called for Americans to exercise โ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ข๐ญ ๐ช๐ฏ๐ต๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ๐ช๐จ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ, ๐ด๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ, and in particular, ๐ข ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ต๐ถ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ญ๐ข๐ธ๐ด.โ
โUpon these let the proud fabric of freedom rest, as the rock of its basis; and as truly as has been said of the only greater institution, โ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐จ๐ข๐ต๐ฆ๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ญ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ท๐ข๐ช๐ญ ๐ข๐จ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐ด๐ต ๐ช๐ต.โโ
What became known as the Lyceum Address is one of the earliest speeches of Lincolnโs to have been preserved, and at the time it established him as a rising politician and political thinker. But his recognition, in a time of religious fervor and moral crusades, that the law must prevail over individual passions reverberates far beyond the specific crises of the 1830s.
โ ๐๐๐ง๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐, ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
Well of Urd
credit: sharktroscopy
I need a vacation.